From Bottleneck to Business Model: How Data Center Constraints Are Driving Innovation and Fueling M&A

By Joseph Watson, Managing Director, Technology

Artificial intelligence is driving a surge in demand for data center capacity but building that capacity has become increasingly challenging. New projects depend not only on capital, but also on access to power, land, fiber, permits, cooling infrastructure, water and local community support.

The market is already showing signs of strain. Vacancy in North America’s primary data center markets fell to a record-low 1.4% at year-end 2025, even as supply rose 36% to 9,432 megawatts, according to CBRE. In other words, the challenge is not whether demand exists. It is whether enough capacity can be delivered quickly enough to meet it.

Industry Trends

Stacked bar chart titled “Global Data Center Demand by Workload in GW” showing steady growth in demand across five time periods. Each bar is divided into three workload categories, all of which increase over time. The first period totals approximately 102.8 GW (40.4, 31.2 and 31.2 GW), rising to approximately 219.0 GW in the final period (63.5, 93.3 and 62.2 GW). The chart illustrates significant expansion in global data center demand, with the middle workload category showing the largest increase over the period.
Source: McKinsey & Company, “The Next Big Shifts in AI Workloads and Hyperscaler Strategies,” December 2025

As capacity becomes harder to deliver, focus is expanding beyond data center owners and operators to the businesses that identify where capacity can be built, how quickly it can come online, which risks may delay it and how existing facilities can operate more efficiently.

For buyers and investors, the more useful lens is not simply who owns capacity, but which businesses help make capacity possible. As a result, the greatest value creation opportunity may lie not in owning capacity itself, but in providing the intelligence and tools that make new capacity possible. Recent M&A activity suggests this theme is already beginning to play out.

Recent Transactions

Transaction announcement graphic showing that Wood Mackenzie acquired LandGate in June 2026. The image features the Wood Mackenzie logo in blue at the top, the word "acquired" in the center, and the LandGate logo with the tagline "A Wood Mackenzie business" at the bottom. The graphic is displayed on a light gray background.
Transaction announcement graphic showing that Mitsubishi acquired PCI Energy Solutions in August 2026. The image features the Mitsubishi logo and wordmark at the top, the word "acquired" in the center, and the PCI Energy Solutions logo at the bottom. The graphic is presented on a light gray background with black and dark blue branding elements.
Transaction announcement graphic showing that S&P Global acquired Datacenter Hawk in September 2026. The image features the S&P Global logo and wordmark at the top, the word "acquired" in the center, and the Datacenter Hawk logo at the bottom. The graphic is presented on a light gray background with red, blue and dark gray branding elements.

Illustrative Companies to Watch

Logos of Amperon, MCiM and NPM displayed side by side on a white background.
Logos of PACES, Uptime Institute and YES Energy displayed side by side on a white background.

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